Sean Murphy

My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

This play is about as contrarian as it gets as these two teams just matched up on July 22nd in Washington with the Mystics staging a 100-99 'upset' win. That game was an anomaly in many regards. The Mystics shot just shy of 50% from the field and got off more than 70 field goal attempts - that's certainly not their M.O. Meanwhile, Las Vegas shot a blistering 54.8% from the field meaning it was Washington's worst defensive performance of the season (or one of Las Vegas' best offensive showings if you prefer to look at it that way). Here, I think the situation is ripe for more of a half-court style affair with Washington looking to protect its seven-game winning streak but understanding the difficult nature of this matchup and Las Vegas returning home off a tough five-game in nine-night road trip. The Aces rested a number of their players in Sunday's lopsided defeat in New York, essentially waving the white flag at the end of their trip and acknowledging just how taxing it was. I'm not convinced we're going to see the Aces really push the pace in this one but I do think they'll look to clamp down defensively in this 'revenge' spot at home. Take the under (8*).

My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday.

We saw plenty of offense in the opener of this series last night as the Dodgers won 6-5. I think we'll see a different story unfold on Tuesday with runs coming at a premium. Michael Wacha has been an 'under' machine for Kansas City. He's worked at least into the sixth inning in four straight and 15 of his last 17 starts. We've seen seven of his last eight outings stay 'under' eight total runs. Current Dodgers hitters do own solid numbers against him but the majority of the damage has been done by just three players in Freddie Freeman, Enrique Hernandez and Teoscar Hernandez. I look for Wacha to effectively navigate the Dodgers lineup on Tuesday. Blake Snell will make his return to the majors following yet another injury. He made four rehab appearances in the minors and while it was smooth sailing through the first three, he did get challenged in the fourth. He called that a positive and I'm willing to bet on him keeping the Royals inconsistent offense in check on Tuesday. I do think the price here is key as we're getting a plus money return at the time of writing with a play that I feel has a better than 50% chance of hitting. Take the under (8*).

My selection is on Colorado over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday.

The Rockies took it on the chin in the opener of this series last night, losing 9-0 for their second straight defeat. We'll call for them to bounce back on Tuesday as they send Tomoyuki Sugano to the hill against Mitch Bratt. Sugano has certainly had his share of struggles this season but we've at least seen him start to turn the corner lately, allowing three earned runs or less in four straight starts with the Rockies winning three of those games. Keeping the ball in the park has been an issue for Sugano but not so much against the Diamondbacks. Current Arizona hitters have just one home run in 42 career at-bats against him. Bratt owns a 5.51 FIP and 1.52 WHIP on the season but just turned in his best big league outing last time out, allowing just one hit over seven shutout innings against the Padres. He actually threw only 55-of-92 pitches for strikes in that game and walks continue to be an issue as he has handed out just shy of six free passes per nine innings on the season. In other words, one swing could change this game for the Rockies and I think the price is simply too attractive to pass up. Take Colorado (8*).